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Tag Archives: economic indicator

Fedwatch Tool screencap on 13 June 2018

Rate hike odds 15 hours before FOMC June ’18 meeting

Based on CME Fedwatch Tool, market attaches a 96.3% of a 25 point rate hike at the coming June 2018 meeting. Another 25-point hike is highly expected in September but a total of 4 hikes or 100 points by end of year cannot be ruled out

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US10Y monthly chart from 2017 - present

At first rates rise very slowly then suddenly very fast

10-year US Treasury Bonds are now trading at 2.919 % yield. Analysts warn that 3% will trigger a stock market correction. Interest rates could rise slowly at first, then suddenly very fast. Once rates rise, gold will fall, bonds will fall, stocks will fall, property will fall.

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CME FedWatch Tool screenshot taken on 04 January 2018

Hawks demand more!

Odds of a 25 basis point rate hike in March 2018 by the Federal Reserve increased dramatically since minutes of the December ’17 FOMC meeting was released last night.

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