ECB Monetary Policy Meeting this Thursday could provide the driver to push EURGBP into a move with conviction. If not, then how the pair closes by end of January should provide a clue for February. This zone is a significant support coming to five months.
Key observations of Wilmar: Price rebounded from 6-year support twice in 2017. Printed new 52-week highs in 2016 and 2017. Last week bullish expansion over last 6 weeks of 2017.
DXY bulls are happy as long as the index stays above this prominent 2-year support. Bears however have their signal. It is now a matter of time while the index does it’s usual zig zag before the inevitable happens. The signal for DXY to go lower in 2018 is already in place.
XAUUSD is setting up a potential breakout if this triangle formation is valid. Gold bulls’ wait could be over soon in this sequence 1. break trend line 2. break strong resistance 3. new high.
These could be leading elements of weakness among stock indices. Likely softening due to profit taking since they are not anywhere near to sweet spot that would entice sellers to come in.
NZDUSD is a loss leader following yesterday’s gapping episode. Zoom out the daily time frame picture a little and a high probability setup jumps out visually. I am looking for the next shoe to drop on NZDUSD.
This is an end of Wk14, beginning of Wk 15 appraisal of the market. I am looking at the AUDUSD, EURUSD, XAUUSD, China A50 and a couple of other trades written about in the past 2 weeks.