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AUDJPY ready to make new 52-week low?

AUDJPY support and direction can’t get clearer than this

Based on a monthly chart going back to 2010, AUDJPY has clear distinct levels and is breaking down systematically. Here it has clear proposition to test 52-week low at 80.50. After 80, 74 becomes an attractive proposition.

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AUDUSD daily chart Jan - Jun 2018

These patterns you can’t miss AUDUSD, AUDJPY, SG30

Based on these patterns, we are in consolidation phase before main trend asserts itself. However I look at these 3 charts of AUDUSD, AUDJPY and SG30, bullish is not the word to describe.

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AUDJPY weekly chart from 2016 to May 2018 (chart B)

Watch AUDJPY for a continuation of this pattern and its implications

AUDJPY is a potential downside continuation pattern currently doing consolidation. At the moment, it is at support from last year’s bottom. A new 52-week low printed first quarter this year suggests further lows. Negative implications to stock indices if previous correlation is still valid.

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AUDJPY 3M chart from 2004 to early May 2018

Another chart on the AUDJPY – SiMSCI divergence theme

Add this 3M chart of the same AUDJPY-SIMSCI divergence theme. What’s notable is that AUDJPY appears to be stepping down to a lower range where it traded between 2010 – late 2012 while SG30 remains at lofty levels.

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AUDJPY action following high probability reversal pattern

High probability setups: AUDJPY report card, NZDUSD progress report

This post follows up two previous observations. A high probability reversal setup spotted in AUDJPY on 25 January 2018 and a similar setup spotted in NZDUSD last week 15 March 2018. AUDJPY is confirmed and moving along nicely while NZDUSD is perched at the edge of confirmation.

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JP225 - SG30 - AUDJPY overlay captured on 20 Feb 2018

29 days 11 hrs 55 min to a 83% probability Fed hike; post-CNY update

This is a post-CNY update with a look at CME odds of a March rate hike (83%). Additionally I take a closer look at JP225 and SG30. JP225 is clearly the weaker leg in the correction and their relative performance suggests JP225 has more to lose. For SG30, recall that 399 is a strong level to test.

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HSI - AUDJPY divergence in weekly chart 2008 - present

Is it time for SiMSCI and HSI to converge with AUDJPY?

AUDJPY, SiMSCI and HSI demonstrated very high levels of positive correlation in the past but this correlation ‘fell apart’ since 2017. Is this correlation still valid? If valid, what does AUDJPY’s recent trend portend for traders in these two Asian indices? Is it time to converge? Indices to fall some more?

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