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CME Fedwatch Tool screencap 16 January 2019

Mood shift part 2

We are looking at increase in expectation of Fed rate hikes this year 2019 versus just last week based on CME Fedwatch Tool. Just last week market was looking at virtually no hike and odds of a rate cut but now we are back in 2-hikes territory.

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Significant shift from dovish to hawkish

Fedwatch Tool indicates shift in mood over span of 7 days

Despite the small numbers involved, Fedwatch tool now indicates possibility of two rate hikes in 2019 and no cut in the first half of the year. This is a hawkish swing from just 7 days ago.

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