Finally this big setup in EURNZD now in play
This very long significant support-turned-resistance was identified in January. We were looking at a high probability reversal then since there was a potential Head and Shoulders reversal pushed against a very significant level going back to as early as 2005.
This chart below was posted on 31 January 2018.
Unfortunately the much anticipated right shoulder dragged on and transformed into a very long triangle consolidation. If any trader had followed this setup with a short and stop loss order above 1.7113, the trade should still be open and enjoying a positive swap. On the other hand most traders might not have this patience so likely exited with some kind of time-stop.
1.71130 resistance intact
With resistance intact and consolidation below this line now into the 9th week from right shoulder, this whole setup remains as compelling. In addition, there is now a bearish expansion in the daily chart combined with trendline break. This is a signal for EURNZD bears.
I just hope the triangle does not turn into a horizontal channel.