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Let’s not have any expectations about this ‘bear’ market

There is an increasing number of headlines shouting ‘Bear’! Whether it is or not, I don’t know but as these headlines proliferate, there are bound to be individuals who work up a passion ready to go short.

Most traders probably remember the fast and furious post-Subprime crash but how many remembers the slow motion deflation of the post-Tech Bubble correction (Dow, not the Nasdaq).

Monthly chart showing DJI post-Subprime crash (left) and post-Tech Bubble correction

Monthly chart showing DJI post-Subprime crash (left) and post-Tech Bubble correction | Source: Tradingview.com

On the left chart we can see Dow Jones Industrial Average lose over 50% of it’s value in 18 months after the Subprime top. During the post-Tech Bubble correction (right), the same index took 34 months to lose just under 40%. In fact it took 14 months to cross a 20% loss threshold. At a minor high 16 months after topping, DJIA was trading down just over 3.4%.

A friend of mine who took a glance at this chart asked ‘U mean it might not come‘? He always thought the market was due for a great reset.

A great crash/reset/correction/whatever might or might not come but even if it did, it might do so in different shapes and sizes. Rather than working oneself into a passion to make money from a killer short, let’s not have any expectations about this market in case it goes the slo-mo way.

Besides, if we believe that a great reset is unavoidable, then surely the Masters of the Universe know this as well. What if they favour a controlled demolition or choose to boil frog slowly?

Rather than to fixate on a idea how the market will turn out to be, just go with the flow whatever turns out to be.

Director, TerraSeeds Market Technician Pte Ltd. Trader, investor. @sohtionghum was picked ‘Top 70 Forex Twitter in 2015’.

“Dear reader, I do not have a financial license to give advice. I do not know you the reader. Your financial objective and risk tolerance may be different from mine. I am not responsible for any consequence of your action.

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