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Spot currency trends as easy as 1-2-3: USDSGD and gold price action

Spotting currency trends is simple

Forex trading is sophisticated. The market demands its pound of flesh when we make mistakes. Everyone wants to make more money but there are many things to juggle: dealing with one’s psychology, managing position sizing, trading high impact news, figuring out multiple time frames and so on. Getting the trend right for each currency pair is the first step. Fortunately it should be as simple as 1-2-3.

The right way is to keep it simple and tight. Recall:

  1. Up trend is series of higher highs, higher lows
  2. Down trend is series of lower highs, low lows
  3. When highs and lows go sideways, market consolidates


USDSGD starting a new leg

  1. May to July – this forex pair trends up with series of higher lows, higher highs
  2. August – pair consolidates July move; price action sideways with (near to) same high, same low
  3. September – pair breaks down range of last two months in a bearish expansion; pulls back, tests former support turned resistance, continues

Trend follower should not be caught long USDSGD late September; look short

Gold consolidates, looking for gold price retracement

  1. July – until July, gold continues to fall with lower low, lower high sequence
  2. August – makes big bullish expansion, rallies
  3. September – consolidation month as price tightens August range
gold retracement

As gold consolidates, the logical bet is continuation of previous (August) trend


Some other examples

EURAUD act according to boxes with price action trading

Price action trading can be easy with Tflow®

Director, TerraSeeds Market Technician Pte Ltd. Trader, investor. @sohtionghum was picked ‘Top 70 Forex Twitter in 2015’.

“Dear reader, I do not have a financial license to give advice. I do not know you the reader. Your financial objective and risk tolerance may be different from mine. I am not responsible for any consequence of your action.

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One thought on “Spot currency trends as easy as 1-2-3: USDSGD and gold price action”

  1. Michelle says:

    Thank you Tiong Hum. Your blog posting always come in time and help me alot. Is very clear and educational. Whenever I’m in confused stage, reading your blog post help me to clear my confused mind and tell myself trading can be simple. Don’t need to put in so many things in the chart and ended up don’t know what is happening. Yes, is as easy as 1 2 3. :)

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