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No Taper, QE on and what to expect from currency pairs, gold, silver

Stocks rally US Dollar drops Gold and Silver rallies

So much ado about Fed tapering the word ‘taper’ did not even appear in the prepared release. Until the next talking head brings it up or 29-30 October when the FOMC next meets. In the meantime, let’s inspect some currency pairs.

 

AUDUSD bullish reversal

AUDUSD is a pair to watch. Having recently done a bullish reversal, the double bottom chart pattern should make a nice base to rally from. Can make money holding this as a carry trade.

bullish reversal

AUDUSD completes double bottom bullish reversal

EURUSD breaks out

For EURUSD, next challenge high made early this year.

breakout

EURUSD breaks out of key resistance, range

Silver and Gold

I did this posting yesterday on how Silver price belongs to a retracement and should be considered a bullish proposition. Here it is ‘Silver price making retracement; chart shows nice symmetry for rally‘. Following ‘no taper’ FOMC, we have both gold and silver rally big time.

gold rally

Gold price rallies big after FOMC says ‘no taper’

There is a lot of analysis in the gold and silver community that QE will depreciate the US Dollar further until it loses its reserve status and when that happens Silver and Gold price is going to rally big time. When asked how much gold will end up, Jim Rogers said this back in April:

When the US Dollar becomes confetti any number you want to make up!

 


 

USDHKD pushing 7.75

And then we have the Hong Kong Dollar which is really a managed currency that is pegged to the US Dollar. Between 2001 until 2011 when the Singapore Dollar strengthens 54% against the US Dollar, the Hong Kong Dollar stayed in its pegged range. If as reported by the Simon Black that the MAS lost 87% of GDP fighting the Singapore Dollar’s appreciation, then what is happening to Hong Kong? Investors ought to look at that 7.75 peg closely. Read ‘Investors speculate the HK Dollar will change peg‘.

Hong Kong Dollar

Hong Kong Dollar testing 7.75 again and again

There is a technical analysis rule here about 7.75. It goes like this:

  1. The more times the level has been tested or validated (by price encountering the support resistance and turning away), the more meaningful it is.
  2. Traders should assume that a level will hold until it is broken.
  3. When a significant level breaks, the outcome is a bigger move.

Director, TerraSeeds Market Technician Pte Ltd. Trader, investor. @sohtionghum was picked ‘Top 70 Forex Twitter in 2015’. Operates multiple strategies.

“Dear reader, I do not have a financial license to give advice. I do not know you the reader. Your financial objective and risk tolerance may be different from mine. I am not responsible for any consequence of your action.

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3 thoughts on “No Taper, QE on and what to expect from currency pairs, gold, silver”

  1. Alex Chan says:

    Is jim rogers ill? His facial muscles look weird..n he sounds short breathed

    1. Soh Tiong Hum says:

      Based on the terrain in the background, he is in a wet humid place certainly in the tropics. I would say physical exertion.

  2. Alex Chan says:

    Thanks for sharing..enjoy his books. Think he is in singapore..he relocated here..singapore is a rich man playground.

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